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  • November 12th, 2013

    November 12, 2013: And HOW many days
    is it until Opening Day?

    Posted by Christine E. at 6:41 pm in Baseball,BBA,Random Thoughts,Red Sox No Comments

    140, by my last count….Blech and Ugh…

    I was talking to my friend Paul from Boston about this. After such an exciting end to the season (World Series Win, not withstanding), Holy Buckets, WHAT a letdown. We are like junkies going through withdrawal, waiting for baseball to start again.

    I mean, I like the Hot Stove and such…but right now, I get twitchy thinking about how long it is until Pitchers and Catchers report (95 days), never mind the 3.5 months to Opening Day…

    Yeah…

    And from the truly NOT so shocking Department: Ben Cherington won Sporting News’ Executive of the Year Award last night, garnering 15 out of the 31 votes. The last time a Sox executive won was Dick O’Connell in 1975. Kinda amazing that Theo didn’t win, when all HE did was bring a World Series back to Boston–after 86 years…go figure…Ben humbly weighs in: “Definitely unexpected. I was telling people in the room that obviously I consider this an award for the organization and not for me…Coming off the year we had in 2012, I also sort of see it as usually an award that goes to an organization that does [good] work over a period of time and not necessarily one year. So it’s a great honor for the organization. It just speaks to the hard work that a lot of people have done.”

    In a move that surprised no one, the 3 players that were given the qualifying offer, have all declined. Jacoby Ellsbury, Stephen Drew and Mike Napoli all said no to the cool $14 million/1 year contract. 2 out of the 3 of them are Boras Boys…any surprise there?

    But honestly, we knew there was no way in hell that Jake would accept…he’s look for a 10-12 year, $300 million payday. I don’t think he is gonna get that, but you never know. I think the Sox will make an offer than makes sense to them (5-6 years) $100-120 million) but they are not gonna bet the farm on him. I expect the plan is to move Shane Victorino to center, to get Jackie Bradley ready, platoon left field, and then pick up a right fielder, like Carlos Beltran, or someone like that.

    But it’s interesting that the only other free agent, (except for Hanrahan, and I don’t even both counting him as he was USE-LESS in 2013 was Jarrod Saltalamacchia, and he was not offered the qualifying amount. Probably cause he would have TOOK it, and the Sox either want to explore other options (and in light of his abysmal postseason play, it’s not surprising), and bring him back significantly cheaper. He made $4.5 million in 2013…

    And it had been over 10 years since the Sox went to arbitration, or even got close to it really. The closest was Wily Mo Pena in 2007, and they got a deal done in the hallway before the hearing. This year’s list of eligibles: Andrew Bailey, Mike Carp, Andrew Miller, Franklin Morales, and Junichi Tazawa.

    Finally, BBA’er J Doug from Rational Pastime took FanGraphs’ win probability data and combined it with his World Series projections (He had correctly predicted that the Sox would win in 6) and developed an interactive World Series Probability Chart. There is some REALLY cool info here, so you need to check it out, but some highlights include: David Ortiz was indeed the MVP (with a whopping 0.368 WSPA), but Jon Lester made a pretty compelling case (0.223 WSPA), and Johnny Gomes’ Game Four 3-run shot (CHECK) was in fact the biggest play AND the turning point of the World Series (0.165 WSPA). For more neat stuff, check it out!

    Coming up: Holy Hell, I get stabby even WRITING that right now. But for now, we have to console ourselves with the GM Meetings this week (they wrap up tomorrow),and the BBWAAA awards are out this week, with John Farrell all but shoe-in for Manager of the Year in the AL, and then Winter Meetings, which start December 9th in Orlando…

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